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Child Care and the Desire to Have the Second Child
Li Wanxin, Yang Xiaojun, Yang Xueyan
Population Research    2021, 45 (5): 64-78.  
Abstract844)      PDF (1492KB)(223)       Save
In the context of the universal two-child policy, this paper investigates the impact of grandparent care and formal childcare on fertility desire of secondchild based on the national fertility survey conducted in 2017. Using binary logistic regression and propensity score matching methods, we find that both of the two childcare modes have significant effects on the fertility desire of secondchild but their influencing directions are opposite: the grandparent care significantly increases the propensity to have the second child, while the formal childcare has a negative impact. Further study shows that the number of kindergartens per capita in prefecturelevel cities plays a positive moderating effect, weakening the role of formal childcare in reducing the fertility desire, while the average childcare costs in prefecturelevel cities play a negative moderating effect, strengthening the negative effect of formal childcare on fertility desire of the second child. Therefore, this paper suggests that increasing the supply of affordable public childcare services is the most effective policy to increase the fertility desire to have a second child.
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Bilateral Effects of Ageing on FDI: Spillover or Extrusion?
Yang Xi,Wang Xueyi
Population Research    2020, 44 (1): 99-112.  
Abstract401)      PDF (714KB)(456)       Save
With the globalization of economy, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) plays an active role in the development of regional economy. An important question is whether population ageing would affect the location choice of FDI. In this paper, we use a bilateral stochastic analysis framework to integrate the bilateral effects of ageing on FDI into a unified framework, and compare the net effect by decomposing the effect into positive and negative ones. We find that ageing has two kinds of effects on FDI: the promoting and the extrusion effects. The positive effect promotes 23.43% of FDI growth, while the extrusion effect reduces 44.63% of FDI growth. Combining both effects, ageing significantly inhibites FDI inflow. The results are significant in different time intervals and regions. At the same time, the heterogeneity analysis of ageing and city scale shows that the role of ageing in extruding FDI increases with the rise of ageing level and decreases with the expansion of city scale.
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Population Ageing and Its Effect on Total Health Expenditure:A Prospective Age Perspective
Yang Xin,Zuo Xuejin and Wang Meifeng
Population Research    2018, 42 (2): 84-98.  
Abstract439)      PDF (1859KB)(652)       Save
With the continuous extension of life expectancy the negative impact of population ageing may be exaggerated by using a static age perspective.In this paperwe try to forecast the population ageing trend of China under different age criteria in 2010-2050 and analyze their effects on total health expenditure.The results show that ageing rate measured with prospective age would be much lower than that measured with chronological age and the health expenditure for the elderly would be considerably reduced.The implications are that the ratio of labor force to the elderly population would changewhich would reduce health expenditure.Howeverin achieving thatit is necessary to promote the relevant social policies such as encouraging the postponement of retirement agechanging the concept of health serviceand reforming the health service system.
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The Impact of Household Registration System Reform on Population Immigration of Big Cities in China: An Empirical Study Based on Urban Panel Data from 2000 to 2014#br#
Yang Xiaojun
Population Research    2017, 41 (1): 98-112.  
Abstract478)      PDF (246KB)(899)       Save
One of the major purposes of the household registration system ( Hukou) reform is to promote population migration to the big cities by removing urban-rural Hukou barriers and administra- tive intervention mechanism of resources allocation through abolishing the resident special status and lowering the settlement threshold in the big cities.This paper analyzes the impact of Hukou reform on population migration using urban panel data from 2000 to 2014 from 123 big cities in China both at the national level and by city size and region.The results show that implementation of unified reform of the household registration management system and the house or regular income based settlement policy can attract population migration to the big cities at the national level.At the city level,the Hukou reform has significant positive impact on population migration for cities below 2 million people.At the regional level,an increasingly stronger impact is observed from the eastern to the western region.
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The Family Planning Reward and Assistance Policies under the Two-Child Policy
Lv Hongping, Cui Hongwei, Yang Xin
Population Research    2016, 40 (3): 82-89.  
Abstract604)      PDF (151KB)(1196)       Save
 In line with the change from the one-child policy to the two-child policy,the family planning reward and assistance policies must be adjusted accordingly.Adjustment of the reward and assistance policies should abide by the principles of scientific connection,fairness,state responsibility and social participation.A country-led social security mechanism needs to be created to eliminate the differences in reward and assistance policies between urban and rural areas,provinces and ethnic groups,reflecting the status of the state policy and the principle of fairness.The fundamental change is to alter rewarding one-child families into encouraging the compliance with the new family planning policy.The contents need to be revised are: first,conducting a " double-track system" to implement simultaneously the old and the new methods; second,taking total responsibility to solve the practical difficulties of one- child families and special families resulting from the one-child policy; third,adding a key point,that is to solve the practical difficulties of one-child families in which the only child is injured,sick or disabled.
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Reduction of Labor Income Share in GDP
Yang Xin
Population Research    2015, 39 (5): 100-112.  
Abstract1053)            Save
China’s labor income as a share of GDP has decreased since 1990s, invoking substantial discussion and research. This study explores the influence of institutional factors on this reduction, particularly the influence of household registration management system. The author demonstrates theoretically why the labor income share could decline with the increasing employment proportion of transferred labor force in non-agricultural sectors. The author constructs an empirical analytical model incorporating factors representing economic development, non-state-owned economy, rural labor force transfer, economic globalization, capital deepening and technological progress. The results show that there is a significant negative impact of transferred rural labor force on change of the total labor income share. One possible explanation is that income of transferred rural labor force is lower than the normal market level in China as a result of institutional factors. Therefore, the transferred rural labor force plays a negative role in the decline of labor income share, which also suggests that impacts of other factors in the previous studies may be exaggerated.
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